LABOR and the Liberals could both win eight seats in the 17-seat ACT Legislative Assembly, according to the latest update of preference distributions.
But a sole Greens MLA, likely to be former speaker Shane Rattenbury, would still hold the balance of power.
An update released by Elections ACT on Wednesday evening shows Labor picking up three seats in the northern electorate of Ginninderra, at the expense of Greens leader Meredith Hunter.
ABC election analyst Antony Green said only three of the electorate's five members so far seemed certain of election.
But he said it seemed likely that ALP candidates Chris Bourke and Yvette Berry would "strengthen Labor's grip on the final two seats".
The preference update also shows incumbent Labor MLA Simon Corbell is likely to retain his seat. Earlier in the count he was under threat of losing to another ALP candidate.
However, the update suggests Liberal incumbent Steve Doszpot won't make the cut.
ACT electoral commissioner Phil Green cautioned that the update represented only a sample of preferences and the final results could still change.
Preferences are yet to be distributed from about half the formal votes counted so far in each electorate.
"As postal votes can be received up until Friday 26 October, the final result cannot be determined until all of these votes have been processed and included in the count," he said in a statement on Wednesday.
The earliest a final result would be known is Saturday.
Elections ACT did not count any further primary votes on Wednesday, leaving the Liberals and Labor tied on 38.9 per cent of the vote each.
On actual numbers, the Liberals hold a lead of 32 votes over Labor.
It was expected about 2500 votes would be counted on Thursday.
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